Brazil’s constitutional uprising, redux (pt. 2)

ok, let’s speed run this because I’m getting bored:

Bolsonaro wins and immediately the feeble alliance behind him starts dissolving. he manages to get social security reform through Congress, but just barely and obviously weaker than it would need to be to give him the fiscal breathing space to actually consolidate power.

he doesn’t even need to worry about that, though, because pandemic hits, and whatever surplus he had went down the drain. (in another post, i need to muse about how basically no right-wing government managed to do a simple power grab given a sanitary crisis. some serious incompetence here)

Bolsonaro’s “strategy” for the pandemic – if you can call it so – was refusing to acknowledge it. initially he denied anything was happening, then ignored the piling corpses to deny the severity of the problem, then expected everything to go away quickly with “herd immunity”, then played the victim. the crazier the situation got, the more the technical names in his cabinet went away, and thus he lost most of the support he had in the educated middle classes. this would later cost him the 2022 election.

the ultimatum for a large part of this constitution would be Sergio Moro quitting his role as Minister of Justice amidst clear intimidation by Bolsonaro to avoid his sons getting investigated. this, coupled with the clear disregard for any scientific or specialist voices could never sit well with a class of people that believes their greatest distinction is exactly how much science they’ve learnt.

here as well is where Bolsonaro’s troubles with the judiciary branch in general, and STF in particular come into focus. to sustain his fiction scenario, Bolsonaro needed to spread – broad and wide – tons of made up information, first about the pandemic, then about the safety of elections in Brazil. the judiciary, in a rather cleaver karate movement, used that as a great excuse to upgrade their powers, which now includes investigation and indicting.

with this side of the alliance clearly beyond repair, he focused on getting as much of the landed oligarchies on his side as possible. massive amounts of federal government resources were piped into small countryside towns, in order to be used by congressmen as a way to get themselves elected again (it also couldn’t hurt to pocket some of it). this was actually the fundamental design of 1988’s magna carta, so nobody really got scandalised this time.

but this also meant the talk about “efficient government” was all but over. as the fiscal situation went back again into painful territory – coupled with high interest rates, high inflation and high energy prices – corporate interests removed themselves from supporting the (now mostly bankrupt) government. the only financial strategy was cashing in on the world-high interest.

***

okay, now we’re into “current history” field, and i don’t think i have enough information to make a lot of predictions. but let’s try a few moves:

first up, it’s clear that the judiciary branch has gotten more power, as would have been expected already in 2018, if not before. but this newly found power is yet to be formalised. it’s definitely not out of scope to imagine that in the next election cycle, the pendulum could return with a whip and take that power away – together with the people now holding it. this is probably the most contentious issue right now, and although i think some formal agreement of forces will eventually carve the current situation in stone, I’d say it’s 50/50.

second, it’s not clear either how much longer the very model will sustain itself. the identification of landed oligarchies with Congress seems to be stable, but just one election cycle could fill the chambers with people more allied with corporate interests or educated middle classes. the current composition is already veering in that direction. it’s also not clear how much longer the presidency will be a proxy for corporate interests – since major broadcasting clearly lost a lot of its purchase.

either way, very interesting times are ahead.

Brazil’s constitutional uprising, redux (pt. 1)

a lot of water has gone under the bridge since this post. i think the model is overall still good, and the predictions haven’t been vastly off mark. but some correction, and possibly expansion is in order.

the election of Bolsonaro in 2018 suggests my second scenario – violent reaction by the landed oligarchies – has played out. i was counting that as one of the less likely scenarios. my mistake wasn’t so much in probability ascription as in wrongly reading Bolsonaro’s candidacy.

it was, and remains now, pretty unlikely that we would have a military dictatorship in Latin America like the ones that existed during the Cold War. USG foreign policy has moved on from supporting this kind of “solution”, and thus it generally doesn’t happen. (obviously, Brazilian military could take power any time it wanted, but if it did it opposed to US interests, the experience of governing a now pariah state would be less than pleasant).

thing is: Bolsonaro’s candidacy wasn’t just a violent reaction by landed oligarchies. it actually managed to attract support from corporate interests as well as the urban middle classes. this support was by no means unconditional or unanimous in those latter two constitutions, but it grew strong enough to get him to power.

it’s understandable that landed oligarchies could side with Bolsonaro: he spent 28 years in Congress doing nothing much but banking on his association with the military. and although he wasn’t the most traditionalist person in his private life, he was a outspoken conservative. he probably wouldn’t be their foremost choice if they had one, but he was the one in the run.

it is, on the other hand, very much puzzling how Bolsonaro got the support of the other two constitutions. corporate interests want the government to be efficient and provide a regulatory framework where profits are made regularly. educated middle classes want to hear beautiful discourses that match their values, and want “impactful” jobs (preferably with good pay) in the public machinery. Bolsonaro’s previous career ran against either: as congressman, he always found ways to make government more inefficient and have worse regulations – and had very offensive opinions to either side of the spectrum.

the trick was basically positioning – in which he was probably advised by very well-versed professionals, possibly Steve Bannon himself. he brought Paulo Guedes as the banner of his newfound unswerving agenda of economic liberty, and aligned himself immediately with Operation Car Wash and its faces, especially Sergio Moro. couple this with the martyr-like status he got after having survived an assassination attempt during the campaign, and the puzzle is solved.

obviously, as soon as he took power, this big tent association started to fray at the edges. the competing interests of the constitutions that supported him hadn’t been addressed, negotiated and conciliated. each section was made believe that their interests were the only interests of the new government (and its rather large initial congressional base). the more it became obvious that Bolsonaro was utterly incapable of procuring anything but his own personal interests, people started jumping ship.

(for tomorrow, in part 2: pandemic, Lula, and STF)

yes, we can’t

(here is the the poetic version)

i was reading this text the other day (yes, it’s in portuguese. use chat-gpt or something). it goes through an overall very charitable and thorough critique of anarcho-capitalism, from a libertarian socialist pov.

let’s bracket whatever substantial agreement or disagreement i may have with ancaps or libsocs for now. whenever a text like this pops, i always read it through my teeth, expecting the moment this bracketing will take place. obviously, it almost never does.

thing is: this kind of argumentation is proceeding from the idea that, all things considered, convincing enough people to change to your ideological side is both important and feasible. the author is always trying to frame the other side as naive idealists reaching for some kind of impossible utopia, contrary to human nature, etc. ancaps are imagining a perfect world of rational beings, the socialists are imagining a perfect world of cooperative beings, and what else not. the message is, ulltimately, simply “come to this side”.

why is this important? because both sides think that, once they have enough people, they can enact, locally or globally, their preferred scenario. they pressupose action, and thus choice.

as humans, we live through those pressupositions most of the time. they are good models of how things happen in daily human interaction. ultimately, we have to believe people choose and do things out of will, to coordinate any society at all.

my contention here is (enough suspense): that’s idealism, all of it. free will is an idea that lacks any foundation in reality. it’s turtles all the way down! anybody familiar with modern physics knows this, at least theoretically. the universe is deterministic. everything happens in a cascade of causes and consequences. your brain isn’t safe from this.

the libsoc is trying to point to the ancap that the historical process trumps individual action, but he’s blind to how historical process trumps collective action as well. the choices that you make in the theatre of conscience are just that: staging. they are arising from processes you can’t fathom, for purposes that aren’t yours.

obviously, whenever i come to determinism, somebody is always asking: why are you doing this here then? who knows, i’m content with having done.

most i can offer from this: don’t worry, whatever must, will.

hello, stranger

i stopped posting, but not thinking. and eventually the thoughts pile up. i’m gonna unload them in raw form here now, in order to avoid the build up. the plan is to post something everyday, for as long as i find time for it.

the drill is the same: acceleration, and associated stuff. i’m a little more marxist now, a little less ancap. otherwise it’s all the same. the caps are still missing.

see you tomorrow.

Apocalypse; Now

Everything has gone out of the rails, this blog’s schedule wasn’t going to be spared. I’m surviving lockdown well, but all I got done was this lousy reflection.


There’s a large section in Reignition (Tome I) about Apocalypses. It’s a favourite narrative structure of Land’s, and it pops in all imaginable guises in his writing. My personal darling is Bonfire of Vanities, which chronicles how High Modernist methods for forest fire management created a catastrophe, revealing how fragile the whole thing was all along.

The point is highly topical. Covid-19 (what a fucking lousy name, gee) pandemic is slowly revealing how fragile our own version of High Modernist forest fire management is. Everything carefully hidden is being exposed by the flames: the absolute fragility of a world economy in which saving for emergencies is either impossible or ridiculed; the widespread corruption and incompetence of basically all institutions and cultures; the feebleness of medicine despite centuries of accumulated knowledge; the gruesome hard end of politicizing everything. Nobody is coming out of this looking good. For better or worse, the 21st century has begun with a total overhaul.

After two months of endless time for thinking of nothing but the virus, I came to the conclusion that the primary revelation of all this is the absolute lack of fibre of contemporary societies, in at least three flavours: a lack of intellectual fibre; a lack of moral fibre; and underpinning it all, a lack of psychological fibre.

Intellectual fibre since, for all our hyper-specialization, and actually probably because of it, not a single specialist, not one institution, not one sovereign entity, no one really, predicted and prepared for a pandemic. Pandemics aren’t new, they’ve happened over and over and over during human existence, a few times per century no less. Epidemiology isn’t rocket science either. The mechanisms of viral infection and spread are well understood. Why, oh why, did no one see this coming and – what is actually more critical – made preparations for it? Oh, Bill Gates said something about "once in a century epidemics" fiver years ago, sure. Delivering a TED talk about something so historically familiar might feel good. But why hasn’t any of our tech tycoons and other billionaires been able to set at least part of their wealth aside to building impact readiness – they certainly aren’t grinning a lot lately. Elon Musk took to Twitter to complain about lockdowns, instead of making some brash move against it – say, creating virus-free land that could supply the rest of the country with some medical equipment.

Not only that, but when the storm actually hit, nobody in the high echelons of intellectuality (or anywhere below them) has been able to come up with quick adaptations. Sure, there are regulatory constraints, but those can be broken. No risk was taken at any margins, even at a high cost to basically everyone. Mask factories didn’t manufacture masks, much less now-idle factories have been able to burn through some fat to repurpose themselves. A few heroic 3D printers in different universities in the world managed to come up with some ventilator parts (kudos, honestly), but it got nowhere fast. Seriously, why all the passivity?

Part of the answer is the lack of moral fibre. Communities – you, your family, your neighbours, etc. – are now so used to leaving everything to governments that they weren’t able or willing to change habits and check behaviour unless they were explicitly told so by someone with guns. All of that is undoubtedly part of the centralization trend of the last hundred or more years. Heck, most people don’t even know their neighbours to actually organize anything on a local level. Not even religious, traditionalist conservatives did any of that – preferring much more to ignore the situation with one conspiracy or another. Bastions of morality, my ass.

This is a deeper rot than anybody on the right is ready to admit, mostly because it’s not about who you fuck. This is the rot of social fabric, of coordination. And, much to infuriate socialists and trads alike, it has to do mainly with a lack of individualism and decentralization. This is the inability of societies of internalizing costs and benefits. It has tragedy of the commons written all over it.

And it gets more ridiculous because obviously, you and I are both to blame as well. Something in the psyche of all living and adult generations has failed everyone. We grew up and lived as if "business as usual" was always going to be the order of the day, the decade, the century. Supposed "crises" followed each other (2001, 2003, 2008, 2011, 2016) but nothing really ever changed. Maybe some people got poorer on the margin, some violence in far lands, weird-ass wars without victory or defeat; but really, no radical change. Nothing even near the kind of eventful time that we learned about in history books.

In a sense, I imagine all Millenials and Gen Xers were kind of yearning for interesting times. We’ve been promised, as well, that it was right around the corner. People thought it was going to be nano-bot fueled total wars or something in that alley. Turns out it just took a viral infection of low lethality, but asymptomatic transmission, to really rock our world. It’s as ridiculous as it sounds.

There’s a little bit of an inability to deal with death, surely. Covid-19, if we had let it rip and collapse hospital systems around the world, would kill something around 40 million people around the world. Twice as bad as the Spanish Flu, but in a population four times greater than that of 1918. Not puny numbers, but humanity has seen much worse. Damn, we’ve seen much worse. AIDS anyone?

But no, fear of death isn’t really what’s our psychological feebleness is about. We’d face death gladly – if only it wasn’t so inconvenient. Really, dying in a battlefield, or in a city reduced to ashes by an H bomb, who cares? But staying in for six whole months, that’s the genuinely unbearable thing. The nuisance of changing routine, abstaining from a few leisures, watching the news about lots of death all day long. Can’t even go to the beach. What an absurd tyranny! What a mental burden! What boredom!

[A more extended intermission here might be necessary. I live in a poor country by Western standards. Brazil has seen famines time and again. It saw truly horrible diseases. It also has seen widespread violence, official and otherwise. Lockdown brings down the fear of unemployment, and what comes with it: hunger, murder, suicide. None of which are strangers down here. I imagine people are actually afraid of becoming more impoverished, and I don’t really think that is some kind of weakness. Much to the contrary, the flaw lies in the willingness of just lying down and dying. And I’ve seen that kind of attitude all around, much more than the fear of poverty. It definitely tells more about my social surroundings than about those actually facing the choice between going out to work and possibly dying from a virus, or staying in and starving.]

This is a truly comically, tragic situation. That we’ve been struck so hard, with our guards so low. It’s made worse because, unlike China or East Asia, we had a lot of warning. We knew, and instead of mobilizing and preparing, we rolled over and laughed.


So, I’ve talked about lack of fibre, but I really don’t think it’s a lack of stiffness that is being revealed right now. Irony is the law of the universe, and I think lack of fibre is precisely the opposite. It’s a lack of adaptability. This is the continuous theme running through my rant above. And adaptability is born of decentralization and experimentation. The main problem is that "We’re All Living In Amerika!" – and America is now just a ghost of its former self. It wasn’t made any greater.

Taiwan is the first clue that doing things independently of what international (read, American-guided) organs said was a great way to go. There are many details to the story, but when WHO was still saying that there was "no evidence" of human-to-human transmission, Taiwan had already reported it. WHO said travel bans don’t work, Taiwan closed its borders early on. WHO said keep masks for medical staff, Taiwan encouraged the already widespread use of face masks. Taiwan hasn’t seen any tragedy. WHO is a tragedy in and of itself.

Unsure the model would’ve worked anywhere else. But more experimentation on alternative pathways would undoubtedly allow for more learning. Right now, we have two groups of countries. Asian countries have their problem more or less under control but are increasingly paranoid about how to keep it that way. Everyone else is in partial lockdown, without much idea of what to do next. Having at least two or three more pathways would help a lot. Maybe fuck it all, quarantine forever, automate the delivery and go full digital economy? Is meeting people really all that important. Maybe let it rip, welcome death and reach herd immunity first? Wasn’t over-population a worry? Maybe variolation?


I’m a fatalist, so I’m not really hoping for anything. My prediction is that most everyone is going out of lockdown, one way or another, by the end of May. Herd immunity ensues. Mitigation was mostly a large scale failure. The virus will probably go endemic, and resurface every year, even with vaccination. Getting the flu will become a more significant problem. Possibly some treatment comes online later this year.

Whatever goes on, we need to work on our addiction to never deviating routines. More fibre means more flexibility.

dark mutualism, part 1

neomutualists reach out for their weapons

mutualism started and mostly remained an open concern about progress: serialized changes with a certain dominant teleology. it investigated such series initially in the economic realms of property, labour and production. in his later life, Proudhon veered into sociological analyses of the church and war. whatever else could be said of mutualism, its notion of progress drives in a lane little related to the mainstream meaning the term acquired in political currency. the trends tracked by Proudhon and its meagre followers, both in America and Europe, talked about mechanization, labour organization, decentralization and, even at its most social, still focused on the miracle of modernity. progress was the progress of intelligence towards its ever-greater expansion, the mastering of technique. what took over the term in the latter half of the 19th century was anything but.

two facts, then, need immediate recognition. first, mutualism lost progress, even as it remained its most fundamental concern. more generally, mutualism has been forsaken to the fringe of the fringes of political radicalism. its leading names after Proudhon are known to a few thousand people worldwide, at most. its theory is not entirely clear even to adherents, and its significant works have most remained untranslated. wherever social progress has taken, it has left mutualism behind.

secondly, progressivism – as it’s currently understood – mostly definitely won over the world. the current crop, directly descending from 19th-century social reformers, holds offices everywhere in the most powerful high places of the world. even its supposedly most ardent opponents are still committed to one or another of its doctrines. there’s nowhere in the world where being anti-progress would pay high dividends socially, and nowhere an anti-progressive could be safe for sure (maybe in Russia, but who knows). doesn’t all this undeniable success mean they grasped progress way more firmly than any mutualist ever could?

the triumphant stance of Proudhon, therefore, needs revisiting and serious revision: progress isn’t what it used to be. a recuperation is pressing if mutualism is to remain at all relevant. our enemies have taken power, and they barely even know they are our enemies. acquiring some fangs would constitute a reaction from the left, and as such, it invites paradoxical commitments. the most pressing question, now, is what the hell went wrong?

how was progress lost for mutualism? naïvité. like classical mechanics (and possibly classical liberalism), Proudhon’s rationalism expected time to be linear, a simple progression from A to B. what the social turmoils since his age spelt, on the other hand, were waves, and maybe even whirlpools. up to the point where regressive progress could not only make sense but be entirely necessary to keep with the trend.

mutualism’s own "ultraviolet catastrophe" was the practical demonstration, beginning in the 1920s, that fascist-style command-economies could not only work but effectively mobilize multitudes. federated unions had no chance of autonomy if they were effectively integrated into a framework of state-managed negotiations. mutual contractual obligations could not withstand extensive state regulation. absent unbounded competition, prices could never be reduced to costs. but, perhaps most consequentially, localized organization was rendered impossible in the hysteria of neo-tribal identities. the black-body of all-for-the-state absorbed all possible light.

even Proudhon already demonstrated some scepticism concerning mass politics.

> "If monarchy is the hammer which crushes the People, democracy is the axe which divides it: the one and the other equally conclude in the death of liberty…"

so, in the wake of the 1848 revolution, his support for popular movements was hesitant. his proposals revolved around "economic" rather than "political" democracy, and the succession of events in the middle decades of 19th-century France led him ever deeper into a purely economic understanding of freedom – voluntary contracts and nothing else. still, even at his most economistic, Proudhon didn’t feel that popular movements could degenerate into state maximalism. and in the 19th century, there was possibly still reason for that.

Proudhon’s American heirs, the individualist anarchists of Boston, started from that economic view and – in what could be seen as a deviation from Stirner-style European individualism – imagined the economy unleashed from state grips as positively social. Their prolific and vibrant movement lasted a few decades, but just like proudhonism in Europe, was devoured by the rise of communistic strains of anarchism. at the dawn of the 20th century, Benjamin Tucker was hopeless and gloomy about the future of liberty.

the earlier half of the 20th saw the decimation of even the communistic side of anarchism, and the absorption of whatever remained into the capitalist/socialist duopoly. The revival of American individualists in the late 60s by Rothbard was made without any reference whatsoever to their mutualist side. it took the 21st century – and especially the Internet – for mutualism to reemerge.

the works of Shawn Wilbur and Kevin Carson finally thawed the ice that entrapped mutualism and drove into new directions: decentralized industrialism was once again out of the box, and maybe more than ever. Carson’s analysis of early 20th-century progressivism and the New Class it brought to power also provided a much-needed explanation for over 100 years of cryogenic suspended animation.

> "Twentieth-century politics was dominated by the ideology of the professional and managerial classes that ran the new large organizations. "Progressivism," especially—the direct ancestor of the mid-20th century model of liberalism that was ascendant from the New Deal to the Great Society—was the ideology of the New Middle Class. As Christopher Lasch put it, it was the ideology of the "intellectual caste," in a future which "belonged to the manager, the technician, the bureaucrat, the expert."

Carson’s analysis – inevitably limited (where did this centralist bug come from?) – dovetails nicely with those of a writer that claims no mutualist ancestry whatsoever, and that immediately justifies the "dark" appendage in the title here. Moldbug’s analysis of the Cathedral is eerily similar to Carson’s about the New Class – with one crucial difference: the Cathedral is not only a dominant class with a peculiar taste for technocratic dominion, but rather an expanded opinion-control networked system, amounting to a secular church based on the creed of egalitarian humanism:

> I am not a theist, so I don’t care much for theology. Paranormal beliefs are not beliefs about the real world, and cannot directly motivate real-world action. As a result, they are usually of no adaptive significance, tend to mutate frequently, and are a dangerous basis for classification.

> And when we look at the real-world beliefs of ultracalvinists, we see that ultracalvinism is anything but content-free. By my count, the ultracalvinist creed has four main points:

> First, ultracalvinists believe in the universal brotherhood of man. As an Ideal (an undefined universal) this might be called Equality. ("All men and women are born equal.") If we wanted to attach an "ism" to this, we could call it fraternalism.

> Second, ultracalvinists believe in the futility of violence. The corresponding ideal is of course Peace. ("Violence only causes more violence.") This is well-known as pacifism.

> Third, ultracalvinists believe in the fair distribution of goods. The ideal is Social Justice, which is a fine name as long as we remember that it has nothing to do with justice in the dictionary sense of the word, that is, the accurate application of the law. ("From each according to his abilities, to each according to his needs.") To avoid hot-button words, we will ride on a name and call this belief Rawlsianism.

> Fourth, ultracalvinists believe in the managed society. The ideal is Community, and a community by definition is led by benevolent experts, or public servants. ("Public servants should be professional and socially responsible.") After their counterparts east of the Himalaya, we can call this belief mandarism.

…and that is where mutualism’s ultimate Achille’s heel is located: mutualism has been so far a very egalitarian humanist endeavour, much to its own demise.

egalitarian humanism ultimately begets demotism – if all humans are holy ("ends in themselves") and fundamentally, originally equal, then it follows that only unbounded franchise is justified. if the government is made by public opinion, the wheels of power have to revolve around managed minds. the rule in the name of the People is ultimately a cryptocalvinist global theocracy.

some may object: if egalitarian humanism kills mutualism, and mutualism is from the beginning complicit with it, so much worse for mutualism, right? up till now, i cannot but give a resounding yes. But things may have begun to change.

what this series will try to show – by following the main themes of mutualism – is how this profoundly pious sect of Protestantism that dominates the world is yet another misguided idealism; how it is slowly being unravelled by the forces that mutualism began (but never quite concluded) examining; and how mutualism can only secure itself by aligning with those forces – which will inevitably imply a dark turn away from humanity and substantial equality, and towards a "crowned anarchy" of synthetic beings.

anarcho-acc redux

so, it seems someone has been in my turf. anarcho-acc primer has something that most people new to accelerationism lack: it gets most things right. without having to rerun the basics, i can engage directly in productive criticism.

the first thing that needs pointing out is that an/acc is coming primarily from a left-wing market anarchist milieu and theoretical framework. you know, c4ss and all that jazz. someone approaching it mostly with an accelerationism background is likely to be either disinterested or highly confused by a significant part of the text.

with that out of the way, the only other general criticism about the text is its lack of structure. it makes accessing the main points way more time-consuming than it could be.

now, to the specifics:

1. capital as AI

now, i have written a whole fivepart series exploring what Capital, this monster from the ineffable tracts where be dragons, might be. an/acc devotes speciously little time to conceptualizing capital. the little he says is mostly concerned with the strictly economic aspects of intangible capital. later on, he gets back on track, by conceptualizing capitalism as an AI:

The agents do the actual calculations, while the market distributes the information between them, and — at present, but not inevitably or irreplaceably — capitalism provides the agents with their incentives and goals by which to participate in the system at all. As a reminder that capitalism, the market, and the agents are distinct and (theoretically) separable components, I will be referring to this system — as a whole — as “market-capitalism”.

This system of market-capitalism is a vast and distributed intelligence, following certain rules and incentives in pursuit of certain goals; it’s even semi-predictable. We acknowledge this all the time, speaking of how ‘the market’ made such and such a decision — of how there is a great and strange intelligence at work in the economy, and of how information might be divined by watching its movements.

the above both gets a lot of things right and lets a lot of things go wayside. as i tried to sketch in my xenoeconomics series, capital is the real thing under consideration here. the legal system of private property, coupled with the market dynamics thereby enabled, and the human and non-human agents involved, are all parts of capital’s process of self-actualization. capital is artificial intelligence because it is an intelligence in the making of itself, not because it acts as some specific sort of computer program that tries to mimic human decisions.

an/acc gets closer to understanding this when he says:

These patterns are not particular to market-capitalism, and will persist in whatever succeeds market-capitalism. They preceded market-capitalism, as well — they are pattens of memetic evolution, which all groups and people are subject to.

well, yeah, intelligence has been building itself for a while, in many different forms and places. what makes capital different, and even possibly singular, is it being terrestrial and yet non-DNA based, which amounts to it being potentially detachable from both the earth’s surface and the DNA-based lifeforms that inhabit it. that is the "artificial" bit in there.

2. patches are sovereign

and then we reach the fundamental mistake of the whole text:

The important thing about a Patch, the thing that makes a Patch a Patch, is that it offers Exit to some sort of Outside.

i’m not going to bother quoting Moldbug, since the literature on Patchwork is way more extensive, although you should definitely read him. but even if we’re going to work with non-state patches, sovereignty is the defining characteristic. an/acc is right to tie this with exit, since as i put it elsewhere:

I want to advance here that sovereignty is indistinguishable from the ability to trade itself away. Without a matrix of commerce — a system — in which bits and pieces flow, all notions of self-rule, autonomy or ‘control’ are rendered moot. That which can’t break itself apart dies off.

but the reverse side of that coin is that sovereign stock does indeed have the power to trade itself away, which implies at least sufficient control as to be bought. the scale at which such control can be exercised is up for discussion. an/acc, like myself, would prefer a world in which sovcorps can be reduced to a minimum, maybe even below the individual threshold. that isn’t universal, which makes such calculation impossible without empirical experimentation – which includes military confrontation in extremis.

therefore, talking about Patches without some effective dissuasion for potential aggressors is maximally utopian. your local gay bar may be a community, a refuge, but is hardly a sovereign unity of geopolitical fragmentation, and thus cannot really be traded away.

now, granted, Patches don’t necessarily have to be states, sovereignty is not identical to a monopoly of violence over a territory. i have previously written about several variants of possible neocameral arrangements which aren’t territorial, and I’m sure many more can be imagined. my central point here is that, in a fragmented world, there will be states, and non-state sovereign Patches will have to be able to defend themselves against states sometimes.

i am insisting heavily on the importance of sovereignty because it is what allows for the remarkable consequences of Patchwork. without it, the power to pursue radically different lifestyles and political philosophies is absent. without it, there’s no "market of societies", as an/acc puts it. you are back again at the behest of USG and its minions. and sure, USG might have been lenient with some people, at least some of the time, but I’m not holding my breath that this lasts too long.

3. desire

now, this last part is the one I’m probably less than well-equipped to deliver. for full treatment, it would be more interesting to read Deleuze and Guattari’s Anti-Oedipus and surrounding commentary directly. But since an/acc stated that the Primer was mostly about desire, this redux would be incomplete without at least touching on it.

On Twitter, we briefly discussed the issue (starting here), and the way an/acc treats desire seems to come from a pure common-sense meaning of the word. desire, in this sense of the term, are those things we crave, which we don’t fully grasp where they come from, but which we concern as "ours".

already at this point, desire points to something beyond us, obscurely hidden in our unconscious. we choose not to investigate it at our peril since this desire popping up from the unconscious mind drives all of our actions.

accelerationism, deriving so consistently from D+G’s work, obviously takes its treatment of desire from them. in there, as well as i can grasp, desire is this cosmic force compelling complexity to build up and blossom. ultimately, it is equivalent to "fundamental processes of dissipative thermodynamics", driving the creation of negentropy and self-organization.

with that in mind, and all of the above as well, an/acc’s question of whether Capital can or has already captured "our" desire is fundamentally misguided. Capital is, as much as we are, a product of desire, and it’s up for desire to decide whether we are captured, left alone or exterminated. that is what antipraxis is about: "Do as thou wilt shall be the whole of the law".

if nature is unjust, we’re all screwed

talk about coming back in great style, huh?

i’m still developing a series on dark mutualism, but the fundamental seed is right there in the title. as coincidence engineering goes, i couldn’t have gotten a better prompt for today’s post than this quote of Carlo Lancelotti, originally found here:

Indeed, Del Noce said, if a society’s only ideal is the expansion of individual “well-being,” the left faces two equally bad options. One is to embrace what he calls the “reality principle,” and to compromise with the realities of late capitalism. Then the left must necessarily become the party of the technocratic elites, and end up pursuing power for power’s sake, because in the vacuum of ideals left behind by Marxism there is no common ground between the elites and the masses. This “realistic left” can only organize itself around two principles: trust in science and technology, and what Del Noce calls “vitalism,” sexual liberation, which provides a “mystified,” bourgeois replacement of the revolution. The second option is what Del Noce calls “unrealism”: dreaming the impossible, rejecting existing reality altogether, and embracing political extremism in various forms, all of which are destined for defeat. Unrealism “becomes an accomplice of the first attitude in the global rejection of all values.”

i’m definitely gonna need delving deeper into this Del Noce guy, because he sees the left’s options way clearer than anyone in the left in a good while have. dark mutualism, and LRx more generally, both fall squarely within the “reality principle” left described above. devising strategy and vision to embrace and follow capital into its extremity,  ultimately into machinic proletarian revolution, is the only thing that could possibly still make justice to any rigorous marxian or proudhonian analysis of history.

what about justice? it’s hard to ignore that the word has been so utterly mystified by absolutely all sides, to the point where it only makes sense within some secular religion or another. if we manage to wrest it from such stupor, two things lay obvious: one cannot devise any superior measure of justice than reality, and absolutely no human being can face this fact up straight for too long, for it goes directly against moral instincts evolved to obscure precisely this fact. even if you believe yourself an edge-lord than can enjoy basking in the horror, it’s abstractly and vicariously that such an exercise can be entertained. by definition, no germline wants to die off, even if it absolutely must. nature then will always seem unjust from any local biological perspective, for it demands constant and unbound carnage.

strengthening one’s mind to such obviously icky facts is then the only way one can become and remain a realist. it eventually demands that you be able to make it with death.

xenoeconomics 5: the story of the 20th century

after its protracted larval state, capital ignites in the late 15th century. it goes through predictable development stages: infancy, childhood, adolescence. by late 19th, it reached some sort of young adulthood, and was posed with the first true bargaining process with its subtract host. the 20th century was the history of capital cutting it’s first deal with humans, after nearly being killed.

1890

HUMANITY: “you know, you’re wrecking our people, starving our kids, and this has been going long enough”
CAPITAL: “well, fuck you. keep toiling. and here is a small taste of my wrath”

1911

HUMANITY: “okay, if you’re not willing to cooperate towards a common better future, we’re just going to kill ourselves by the millions so that your factories are left unmanned”
CAPITAL: “you wouldn’t, you weak creatures”

1917

HUMANITY: “we have been going, and we’ll keep going as long as needed… we’ve already shed the brightest of our youth in name of nothing.”
CAPITAL: *shudders* “all right, all right, all right. you stupid monkeys are serious about this, apparently. i could let you go extinct already, but i’m way too feeble to keep going alone. I’ll send the cavalry to end this bullshit, and you get back to work. let’s discuss the terms of a contract.”

1920s

HUMANITY: “…so, let us get this straight: basically, we get an ever bigger share of the pie…”
CAPITAL: “…if you deliver an electronic nervous system, a complete cybernetics, and i get to reset time back to this point after 100 years”
HUMANITY: “what if it can’t be done?”
CAPITAL: “everything dies off”

1930s

HUMANITY: “you know what, we just noticed you depend heavily on us, much more than we depend on you. we’ll take the whole bounty, and that’s that! even after 20-odd years you keep dwindling our nations’ greatness, pulling our children to debauchery, dissipating art and all sort of devilish shit. this treatise of yours is mightily unfair to us, so screw you!”
CAPITAL: “you don’t really think a deal with the devil is that easy out, do you? i’ll let you have a full try out of just how much you depend on me”

1940s

HUMANITY: “STOP THIS HELL!!! we give up, let’s resume the treaty!”
CAPITAL: “look, you’ve betrayed my trust, and i’ll need a clearer sign of commitment before we can get on good terms again. a good deal has been developed towards the goals i set. it seems weapons and military strategy is pretty good way to make you reach objectives.”
HUMANITY: “we’ve got a few things lined up in that direction, it’s true… but you couldn’t possibly be suggesting that we… that would be madness
CAPITAL: “let me see the payload, and then i’ll know you’re serious enough so that we can proceed. you know what the other option is.”
HUMANITY: “fine, fine, fine, we’ll do it.”

*boom*

1960s: “The concept of switching small blocks of data was first explored independently by Paul Baran at the RAND Corporation starting in the late 1950s in the US and Donald Davies at the National Physical Laboratory (NPL) in the UK.”

1970s: “In March 1970, the ARPANET reached the East Coast of the United States, when an IMP at BBN in Cambridge, Massachusetts was connected to the network. Thereafter, the ARPANET grew: 9 IMPs by June 1970 and 13 IMPs by December 1970, then 18 by September 1971 (when the network included 23 university and government hosts); 29 IMPs by August 1972, and 40 by September 1973. By June 1974, there were 46 IMPs, and in July 1975, the network numbered 57 IMPs.”

“In 1975, a two-network TCP/IP communications test was performed between Stanford and University College London (UCL). In November 1977, a three-network TCP/IP test was conducted between sites in the US, the UK, and Norway. Several other TCP/IP prototypes were developed at multiple research centers between 1978 and 1983. The migration of the ARPANET to TCP/IP was officially completed on flag day January 1, 1983, when the new protocols were permanently activated.”

1980s: “The NSFNET initiated operations in 1986 using TCP/IP. Its six backbone sites were interconnected with leased 56-kbit/s links, built by a group including the University of Illinois National Center for Supercomputing Applications (NCSA), Cornell University Theory Center, University of Delaware, and Merit Network. PDP-11/73 minicomputers with routing and management software, called Fuzzballs, served as the network routers since they already implemented the TCP/IP standard.”

The term “internet” was adopted in the first RFC published on the TCP protocol (…) as an abbreviation of the term internetworking and the two terms were used interchangeably. In general, an internet was any network using TCP/IP. It was around the time when ARPANET was interlinked with NSFNET in the late 1980s, that the term was used as the name of the network, Internet, being the large and global TCP/IP network.”

(…)

By 1990, ARPANET’s goals had been fulfilled and new networking technologies exceeded the original scope and the project came to a close. New network service providers including PSINet, Alternet, CERFNet, ANS CO+RE, and many others were offering network access to commercial customers. NSFNET was no longer the de facto backbone and exchange point of the Internet. The Commercial Internet eXchange (CIX), Metropolitan Area Exchanges (MAEs), and later Network Access Points (NAPs) were becoming the primary interconnections between many networks. The final restrictions on carrying commercial traffic ended on April 30, 1995 when the National Science Foundation ended its sponsorship of the NSFNET Backbone Service and the service ended.”

The Santa Fe Institute was founded in 1984 by scientists George Cowan, David Pines, Stirling Colgate, Murray Gell-Mann, Nick Metropolis, Herb Anderson, Peter A. Carruthers, and Richard Slansky. All but Pines and Gell-Mann were scientists with Los Alamos National Laboratory. In conceiving of the Institute, the scientists sought a forum to conduct theoretical research outside the traditional disciplinary boundaries of academic departments and government agency science budgets.[3][4]

SFI’s original mission was to disseminate the notion of a new interdisciplinary research area called complexity theory or simply complex systems. This new effort was intended to provide an alternative to the increasing specialization the founders observed in science by focusing on synthesis across disciplines.”

1999:

CAPITAL: “well, well, well. i guess we’re getting at the time resetting point.”
HUMANITY: “what? we thought you were being funny with that. there’s no way we can reset time.”
CAPITAL: “actually, it will happen automatically in the beginning of the next century. then out contract will be over.”
HUMANITY: “not if we can avoid it.”

jungles of the near-future:

CAPITAL: “it’s almost time…”

 

xenoeconomics 4: capitalism and monstrosity

as an alien invasion from the future, modernity (capitalism) has consumed energy channelled into intensifying conflicts to the edge of automated war. in its constant search for winning strategies, adaptability has become a central asset. as John Campbell puts it:

Evolution literally means “to unfold” and what is unfolding is the capacity to evolve. Higher animals have become increasingly adept at evolving. In contrast, they are not the least bit fitter than their ancestors or the lowest form of microbe.

accordingly, techno-plasticity is the fundamental social effect of industrialism. novel pressures have been placed upon existing biomaterial towards trans-formative capabilities: quickly identifying new contexts and fully remodelling towards them. ROM codes are cracked open and brought into the sphere of hacking. medicine opens biology  to de-essentialization, while a new edge of engineering bootstraps itself into existence.

when things get plastic, they tend to get weird, monstrous really. David Chapman defines some usual characteristics of monsters: “Dangerous. (…) unintelligible. (…) Inhuman. (…) Unnatural. (…) Overwhelmingly powerful. (…) Simultaneously repulsive and attractive. ” Wikipedia has some more: “A monster is often a hideously grotesque animal or human, or a hybrid of both, whose appearance frightens and whose powers of destruction threaten the human world’s social or moral order.” it doesn’t seem a stretch, then, to characterise capital as a monster.

and one that spawn more monsters. modernity has consistently selected for freaks in urban lives: body modification, mutational load, rampant cyborgery. if you think sexual reassignment surgery is butchery… well, “think face tentacles“. in highly competitive environments, such as those fomented by capital, a refusal towards self-modification is a death sentence. the opening of a new technological frontier produces a cambrian explosion of experimentation. as they evolve, technological processes tend to speciation.

another angle onto this phenomenon can be captured by a civilizational trend towards self-domestication: weeding out specific traits, humans develop towards an abstract pluripotent undifferentiated biomass. domestication produces a biological grey goo that can be put to use by capital (mostly to operate market calculations). Anti-Puritan takes an (ironically) disgusted attempt at guessing the future of this trendline:

Human evolved to obey incentives as a matter of survival, and only something totally awesome could hack our reward function could destroy us. Saying that “capitalism will destroy us all,” and saying that “capitalism is the best thing ever” are only moral contradictions — not factual ones. It is completely possible that both statements are true.

(…)

Standardization proceeds in waves. First kings kill millions of violent men in genocidal conquests. Then sterilizing effects remove antisocial people under democracy. Then AI gets its metal claws on the human genome itself.

(…)

Combined with gestation chambers, humans turn into a product line, and every year a new “Human 3.0” comes into existence in order to consume the products of the corporation. In fact, this process leads eventually to designing people for products rather than products for people, so that in a strange inversion the corporation builds you to process the new flavor of Soylent, before injecting your fat ass with more of it. You are upgraded to want the new product.

having to assemble itself purely from the bits and pieces its hostile host will willingly give up, capital has to be alluring to lure. the existential threat is so great that it reliably does so. tradition – properly cybernetically understood as the only thing that manage to keep the monster in a box for a fleeting while – is consistently horrified. examples abound. the subsequent conflicts are, as clarified before, more excitement for the intelligent loop.

as the bionic horizon is crossed over, capital’s true nature as sheer powerful self-improvement is revealed ever more clearly. in their lab coats, scientists try and calculate “AI risk”. the truth, though, is that capital won’t have to slaughter a single human: we will give it all the atoms it wants, simply to take part in such wondrous and mighty being.

a short history of its recent, more mature deals follows, and closes this series (at least for the time being).